Archive for category International Politics

The Vision Thing

By now everybody has reacted to the President’s inaugural speech and the reaction has been fairly predictable — most on the right liked it and most on the left disliked it. What struck me about the speech is that it represents a bottom up approach to world peace. 

Often we get confused by methods and goals and think that people who advocate a different method are advocating a different goal. Most Americans want our nation’s foreign policy to ultimately advance the goal of world peace. The disagreements are typically over methods. The method that has been favored by the left and enjoyed the ascendancy in the past century was the top down solution of world government. The League of Nations. The United Nations. They were (are) both miserable failures, and resulted instead in a ravaged century.

President Bush offers a different solution — empowering every individual to construct representative governments that respect the rights of all individual. This is a pretty radical concept for some.

In the top down, you have a collection of governments, ranging from the virtuous (Canada) to the self-centered (France) to the downright evil (North Korea, working at cross purposes in the UN, and achieving little more than frenzied feeding at the public trough. You could argue that if all governments were as virtuous as Canada, then the UN would be a smashing success. The problem is, as recent history has demonstrated, all governments aren’t as virtuous, and the UN itself can’t solve that problem. In fact, by it’s nature it acts as a brake on attempts to reform countries.

So President Bush advocates a different approach – improve the individual nations, one by one, until something like the UN could actually work, instead of it counting bribe money while millions are murdered. Work on the virtue bubbling up from the bottom instead of trying to impose it from the top.

I think it’s a noble vision, and a workable method, but like so may other things that are worth doing, it takes time, effort, and perserverence.

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The Palestinians Need an Orchestra

(Whew! After singing in three Messiah concerts in 27 hours, it’s time for some non-vocal communication.) 

I want to go back to something Kevin said on May 5, 2004 (post: “The State of Diplomacy”): 

It means that the palestinians won’t get a state until they get serious about being a nation and not just an odd cross between victims and terrorists. 

This statement is insightful, profound, and (best of all) true

About a year ago I was reading the book: “Six Days of War: June 1967 and the Making of the Modern Middle East”, by Michael B. Oren, Oxford University Press, 2002. On page 3 Oren is talking about the Yishuv, the Jewish community in Palestine: 

“By the 1940s, the Yishuv was a powerhouse in the making: dynamic, inventive, ideologically and politically pluralistic. Drawing on Western and Eastern European models, the Jews of Palestine created new vehicles for agrarian settlement (the communal kibbutz and cooperative moshav), a viable socialist economy with systems for national health, reforestation, and infrastructure development, a respectable university, and a symphony orchestra – and to defend them all, an underground citizen’s army, the Haganah.” 

When I read that paragraph I thought, “What? An orchestra??!!!” I had thought of the early Jewish community in Palestine as a bunch of huddled refugees, hunkering down in the basement shelter and trying desperately to avoid being annihilated! 

Well, I was wrong. The Yishuv did have somewhat of a siege mentality, but they also found time and enough violins to create a symphony orchestra and give concerts. That’s very interesting. 

Victims don’t have orchestras. Terrorists don’t give concerts. 

Nations do both of these things. And that’s a big difference. 

I also remember reading sometime in the 1990s about the newly established Palestinian Authority. If I remember correctly, the article in Time magazine stated that the P.A. managed to collect even less money in taxes from the Palestinian areas than the Israelis had during their authority. If true, that’s pathetic! 

Victims don’t pay taxes. Terrorists don’t pay taxes. Nations do pay taxes, and that’s partly how they build themselves into a functioning society and respectable member of the family of nations. 

The Palestinians’ fate is not in their own hands. Their unhappy situation is partly a consequence of their own actions. That is reality. Behaving like a nation would go a long way toward changing their perception in the eyes of the rest of the world, where it really matters. Having an orchestra, and paying taxes, would also change their own self-image. 

(I’m aware that the P.A. was corrupt, and perhaps Palestinian individuals avoided paying taxes that would just go to line some official’s pocket. If true, this would be a profound betrayal of a people’s hopes and dreams by Yasser Arafat. ‘Nuff said.) 

So if you Palestinians want a state, you should start an orchestra and pay your taxes. Continue in that theme, and renounce your destructive intifada and the Hamas terrorists. After two generations of failure, it’s time to try doing something different. 

If you search on Google for “Palestinian orchestra”, you will get some hits. Some of those links appear to refer to the early Jewish orchestra mentioned in the “Six Days of War” book. But there are also some references to an orchestra in Ramallah. It appears that some musicians had this idea before I did, and a few Palestinians aspire to play in the orchestra or to conduct it! 

I wish them the best of success. Perhaps they could start with the opening Tenor aria from Messiah

Comfort ye.

Comfort ye, my people, saith your God. 

Speak ye comfortably to Jerusalem, 

And cry unto her, that her warfare is accomplished 
[over]

That her iniquity is pardoned, 

That her iniquity is pardoned. 

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More Lessons From History

The most horrible story in the Bible is told in Judges 19-21. Here we read the tragic tale of a reluctant young bride who is assaulted, raped, and murdered by criminals from the tribe of Benjamin. The unfeeling husband dismembers her body and sends the pieces throughout Israel in witness to the foul deed. The other tribes unite to punish the guilty, and demand that Benjamin hand over the criminals. For reasons that are not recorded, “the Benjaminites would not listen to their fellow Israelites.” (Judges 20:13b) They gird for war instead.

In the course of that war tens of thousands of Israelites are killed. The tribe of Benjamin is wiped out, except for a small remnant of 600 men who flee to the Rock of Rimmon. Israel mourns the destruction of their brother tribe, and eventually uses more war and trickery to arrange wives for the remnant, so that the tribe of Benjamin will not die out completely.

This happened in roughly 1,100 BC. Perhaps the Benjaminites were unaware that a similar fate had befallen another city about 100 years earlier – a city that had also refused to correct its own wrongdoing, but had armed themselves defiantly for war instead. The name of that city was Troy.

As recounted in Homer’s Illiad and brought again to life by Brad Pitt and Eric Bana in the movie Troy, a few Trojans had committed a grave sin against their neighbors. Prince Paris of Troy had stolen away Queen Helen of Sparta from her lawful husband Menelaus. Instead of returning Helen with apologies as by all rights he should have done, King Priam resolved to fight the Greeks instead. Nobody claimed that stealing another man’s wife was right, but they held their nationalism above what was right and wrong.

And for that sin, they died.

I find this stuff fascinating even if nobody else does. This thought is still under development, but what I see here is a pattern in history. Here’s how it works:

  1. A small band of people commit a crime, a deed that everybody agrees is wrong. The victims are members of another ethnic or nationalist group.
  2. The offended group (Israelites, Greeks) demands punishment of the guilty persons.
  3. The offending group (Benjaminites, Trojans) refuses these demands. They turn the problem into an ethnic/nationalist conflict instead. In doing so, they bring the guilt for the original crime upon themselves.
  4. The offended group prevails in war. After great loss of life on both sides, the offending group is utterly destroyed. 

The Book of Judges and the Trojan War are relevant today. In Darfur the Janjaweed militia commit atrocities against Sudanese villagers. The U.S. and U.N. demand that Khartoum disarm the militia. In response, the Sudanese government attempts to whip up nationalist feeling and portray the conflict as the nation of Sudan against those nasty Western imperialists.

In April in Fallujah, Iraq, terrorists murder four American contractors and hang their mutilated bodies from a bridge. No rational person claims this is right, but when coalition forces demand the murderers be turned over for justice, the leaders in Fallujah beat the drums of ethnic/nationalistic/religious war instead. They portray the crime in terms of Islamic jihad, instead of some out-of-control terrorists committing crimes that Islam forbids. The original guilt was confined to a small group of people, but by offering sanctuary to terrorists and not fixing their own problem, the Fallujans have taken the guilt upon all themselves.

We saw the consequences of the same history pattern this week: The city of Fallujah depopulated and severely damaged by the coalition assault. Thousands of terrorists killed (no regret there). Many civilians wounded and killed.

I saw this same pattern occur in Serbia during the 1990s. Ethnic and nationalistic pride were held higher than what was right and wrong. Muslim civilians were massacred at Srebrenica. Serbia later paid the price. Unfortunately, so did lots of innocent people. If the Taliban had turned over bin Laden they would probably still be in power.

The moral lesson here is that if you don’t fix your own moral problem, somebody else will. And you probably won’t like the way they go about fixing it.

The Soup Is Hot, The Soup Is Cold

From the movie Cleopatra (1963) :

Messenger: Antony is dead.

Octavius: [Quietly, stunned] Is that how one says it? As simply as that? Antony is dead. Lord Antony is dead! The soup is hot, the soup is cold, Antony is living, Antony is dead.

[He suddenly turns and begins to shout.]

Shake with terror when such words pass your lips, for fear they be untrue! And Antony cut out your tongue for the lie, if not true! For your lifetime boast that you were honored to speak his name even in death! The dying of such a man must be shouted, screamed…it must echo back from the corners of the universe. Antony is dead! Marc Antony of Rome lives no more!

Yasser Arafat lives no more! An old era has passed, a new one has begun.

Proposition: Never before has a leader ruled for so long and accomplished so little for his people.

I think the modern competitors might be Fidel Castro, Mobutu Sese Seko, and Robert Mugabe. Arafat definitely has a shot at the title. At least Castro delivered his people from Fulgencio Batista, and then gave them some kind of stability for 40 years afterwards. Arafat presided over a slow erosion of Palestinian status, repeatedly rejecting deal after deal only to see the next offer be worse than the previous. I’ll bet he would have liked to return to the pre-1967 borders, the same borders he rejected before 1967 because he wanted more. Now he and his people have gotten far less. How could a leader consistently make the wrong choices and yet stay in power?

But Yasser Arafat stood at the center stage of Palestinian politics for decades. His passing marks the end of an era. Arafat’s death is momentous just as Marc Antony’s was.

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Lucky or Smart?

I have never understood why the left has obsessed over “stockpiles of WMD” in Iraq. Now we know that Saddam didn’t have had any when we invaded. While the left seems to think this somehow invalidates the decision to go to war, despite the fact that WMD “stockpiles” were not the reason we went to war, I think it shows good fortune on our part. I mean, the other possibilities are that Saddam would have unleashed WMD during the invasion when it was clear that we would depose him, resulting in at best horrific civilian casualties amongst the unprotected Iraqi people, or that he would have resumed making WMD when the crumbling sanctions soon fell.

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Warm, Cuddly, Deadly

I’d like to live in Teresa Heinz Kerry’s world. No, I’m not talking about being a pampered billionaire, I’m talking about her world where everybody is a rational actor.

She said the United States needs a different approach in the world. “The way we live in peace in a family, in a marriage, in the world, is not by threatening people, is not by showing off your muscles. It’s by listening, by giving a hand sometimes, by being intelligent, by being open and by setting high standards,” she said at the CSU rally. 

That may work for most people in their family lives, but it simply doesn’t work for everybody nor does it work all the time in the world. They’re are plenty of people in prison for whom all those non-forceful methods simply don’t work. And does she honestly think we can sit down with Osama and work this whole ‘infidels-must-die’ thing out with listening and setting high standards?

This sort of thinking gets people killed. But it doesn’t stop there.

“There are about 50 countries in the world that have the capability to build nuclear weapons. Are we going to attack them all?” she said. 

Are all countries equal? Does Canada follow the same foreign policy as North Korea? Of course not. So why should different countries, with different political systems, be treated the same? It’s egalitarianism run amok. Homicidal dictators who feel no compunction in killing people should be treated differently than representative governments that take great care of foreigners and citizens alike.

I realize that she is the wife of the candidate, not the candidate, but I get tired of trite moralizing and an inability to face up to reality.

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Cat Stevens in the News Again

Yusuf Islam, formerly Cat Stevens, formerly Stephen Georgiou, was denied entry to the United States and returned to London:

He [Cat Stevens / Yusuf Islam] was widely reported to have endorsed the late Iranian leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeni’s 1989 decree calling for the death of British novelist Salman Rushdie after Khomeni said Rushdie’s novel, “The Satanic Verses,” was blasphemous. 

But Islam has said his comments were taken out of context by a reporter, and that he opposed anyone “taking the law into their own hands.” 

Here’s what I remember of the Salman Rushdie “Satanic Verses” incident (15 years after the fact): After Khomeini issued a fatwa against Salman Rushdie and ordered Muslims to kill him, some reporters asked Stevens about the death sentence. Yusuf Islam’s response was something like this: “Well, blasphemy against the Koran is a very serious matter. I acknowledge the authority of Muslim religious leaders, and in principle I support their decrees.” The headlines the next day read: 

Cat Stevens Says Rushdie Must Die 

Of course Stevens hit the roof when he read the newspaper, and he angrily called a press conference. He said his comments had been taken out of context, that his position had been exaggerated, and so on. 

I think he deserved it. One does not equivocate and give vague statements of implicit support when death sentences are issued publicly against authors of books. Either Khomeini is an out-of-control theocratic idiot or he’s a revered Imam of the true Islamic faith. Khomeni didn’t leave us with many choices in the middle. 

Yusuf Islam seems to have learned his lesson: “He also condemned the recent attack on a school in the southern Russian town of Beslan that killed more than 300 people, many of them children.” Good for him. Maybe he’ll donate money or blood to help them.

By the way, nobody claims that Cat Stevens is a terrorist, despite the disingenuous remarks by him and some American Muslims like Ibrahim Hooper (spokesman for the Council on American-Islamic Relations). The complaint is that some of the charities he supports may be funneling money toward non-charitable causes that support terrorism.

Here’s some more background on the creator of “Tea for the Tillerman”

Not Good

Putin appears to be actually doing what Bush’s critics accuse him of: becoming a dictator. My feeling is that this is what Putin has wanted to do and now feels that he can do. Will taking full control of the goverment help in the fight against terrorism? I don’t think so, and it may cause more division than unity. The problem Russia has had in fighting terrorism seems to have more to do with petty corruption than lack of central control. But what do I know, I’m just a guy on the other side of the world from Russia.

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Global Moral Renaissance

(This is a blog. I’m supposed to be provocative, right?) Humanity’s march toward righteousness continues. From CNN.com:
http://www.cnn.com/2004/WORLD/africa/08/30/war.peace.ap/index.html

Despite headlines, global war casualties decline 

Monday, August 30, 2004 Posted: 12:13 PM EDT (1613 GMT) 

(AP) — The chilling sights and sounds of war fill newspapers and television screens worldwide, but war itself is in decline, peace researchers report. 

In fact, the number killed in battle has fallen to its lowest point in the post-World War II period, dipping below 20,000 a year by one measure. Peacemaking missions, meantime, are growing in number. 

“International engagement is blossoming,” said American scholar Monty G. Marshall. “There’s been an enormous amount of activity to try to end these conflicts. 

. . . 

A collaboration with Sweden’s Uppsala University, that report will conservatively estimate battle-related deaths worldwide at 15,000 in 2002 and, because of the Iraq war, rising to 20,000 in 2003. Those estimates are sharply down from annual tolls ranging from 40,000 to 100,000 in the 1990’s, a time of major costly conflicts in such places as the former Zaire and southern Sudan, and from a post-World War II peak of 700,000 in 1951. 

The article cites studies by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, the Canadian organization Project Ploughshare, and the Human Security Report from the University of British Columbia. Okay, I’m kidding about the “march toward righteousness”, but I thought that story ought to be received as good news. 

Monty Marshall and others attribute the cause of the decline to the end of the Cold War’s aftermath, and to peacemaking and peacekeeping missions, often under U.N. auspices. And you thought Kofi Annan was just some annoying guy who runs onto the battlefield just as American armies are lined up ready to give the bad guy what he deserves! You may still be correct about that, but these researchers think that some good is being accomplished by peace missions that embody what the U.N. is supposed to be. 

The fly in the ointment here is that humans have thought up other ways to be nasty to each other that do not involve armed conflict. “The Canadian center’s director, Andrew Mack, said the figures don’t include deaths from war-induced starvation and disease, deaths from ethnic conflicts not involving states, or unopposed massacres, such as in Rwanda in 1994.” So North Korean leader Kim Jong Il can still allow 2-3 million people to starve to death during 1994-1998, and it won’t get added to the number of combat deaths. 

Probably the encouraging statistics from 2003 will not comfort any parents who lost a child in the Beslan terrorist attack on a school this past week. Still, the statistics suggest that for every Beslan school there are two or more schools where children coming running out to their waiting parents, hug them, and travel happily homeward with nary a terrorist in sight. Is Vladimir Putin our friend? I suppose not. However, Christian theology includes the idea of treating your adversary kindly in his hour of need, and possibly making him your friend. See the parable of the Good Samaritan in Luke 10:25-37 for details. God can make good come out of evil (Genesis 50:20). 

As George Bush said shortly after the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks: “Hug your children!” Take them on whitewater rafting trips. And love their mother with all your heart.

Europe, Again

Orin Judd links to a long piece by Bruce Bowers in the Hudson review about European/American relations based upon experiences in Europe. It’s well worth the time to read.

One of the crucial differences between Europe and America is that Europe is full of people who decided to stay and America is full of people (and their descendants) who decided to leave. You can almost imagine a diffusion process where on one side of the Atlantic you have the least volatile people and on the other the most. I suppose it isn’t a surprise then that Europe has increasingly looked to comfort and security while American continues to look to opportunity and success. In a sense on of the problems with Europe really is America — it’s attracted the strivers and the boat rockers that Europe needs. That outflow of people has been interrupted for sixty years from the old Eastern bloc countries — another difference between our old allies and our new ones.