Archive for category National Politics

He’s Not Just A Pretty Face

Polipundit points out that Tom Delay has gone into comedy:

“I think the leading economic indicator is the Democrats have stopped talking about the economy.”

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Two Good Posts

First he points out that the National Taxpayers Union has crunched the numbers and found that the average Democratic Congressperson has called for far more new government spending than their Republican counterparts.

Then he points to a Washington Post article about Saddam, the war, and WMD that relies heavily on results of interrogation of Tariq Azziz. Lots of good stuff in the article and in Jon’s analysis.

My Last Arnold Post

Yeah, I know, promises promises. In case you just awoke from a coma, Arnold was elected governor of California in the recall election. This has caused a lot of hyperventilating and wishful thinking. It seems that a lot of people credit Arnold’s celebrity or moderation for the victory. I think that is right in some ways, and wrong in others. The Man Without Qualities linked to a poll in USA today from shortly before the election that tracked the results fairly well. And in that poll is a fact that I haven’t seen addressed by any commentator – namely that with Arnold out of the race, Davis would have been recalled and McClintock would have been elected governor by a margin only 2 percent less than Arnold’s if McClintock wasn’t in the race (56% vs. 58%). So my interpretation of the figures is that people wanted Davis out, didn’t want Bustamante (whether he was tainted by Davis or couldn’t stand on his own two feet isn’t clear), and didn’t care too much about the differences between Arnold and McClintock. But I do think Arnold’s celebrity and moderation earned him votes over McClintock because voters thought he could win – and it was more important to defeat Davis and Bustamante than to elect a particular candidate. Since this idea doesn’t do anybody or parties any good (except, perhaps, McClintock), I guess I’m not surprised you haven’t heard it advanced anywhere.

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Long National Nightmare Finally Over?

I’m referring, of course, to the California recall election. I have a sneaking suspicion that if Missouri had a recall election, not only would it have not generated the same amount of coverage in California as California’s did in Missouri, it wouldn’t have generated the same amount of coverage in Missouri.

Thanks to the LA Times (official cheerleader of the Keep Davis campaign), we know that Arnold (you really don’t need his last name to know who I’m talking about, and I can’t spell it anyway) liked to compliment women while he groped them. What we don’t know is that Grey Davis liked to belittle them while he shook and non-sexually abused them. Some choice. Well, if I lived in CA, I’d be voting for McClintock anyway.

Now that the same “feminist” brigades that lept to Bill Clinton’s defense are now denouncing Arnold for the same behavior towards women, we can all see that it isn’t about the women, it’s about the abuser. Thanks for clearing that up. Of course, there was a difference: Arnold has now apologized and said what he did was wrong; Bill Clinton still has others talk about a vast right-wing conspiracy. If Arnold had been a Democrat, he would have claimed that we barbarian Americans are too uptight about sexual matters and that such behavior isn’t just tolerated in Europe, but positively celebrated (along with mistresses, naturally).

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Voices Arnold Should Heed

Arnie for governor has been covered from every possible angle but one. He should listen to some advisors who are uniquely qualified: fellow celebrity republicans. While liberal celebreties tend to dabble in politics (with the notable exception of Bill Bradley), conservative ones actually run for (and somehow get elected to) office. I have done Arnold the favor of collecting just some of the wisdom of celebrity republican politicians.

Is Arnold qualified for governor? Well, as Sonny Bono (another celebrity of modest acting ability) said, “Don’t let a lack of qualifications stop you from pursuing your career goals. I was never qualified for any of the positions I achieved.”

What should Arnold do about the fiscal crisis facing California? He should remember the words of wisdom of Congressman Fred Grandy, AKA Gofer of Loveboat fame, who said “Why is Congress so out of touch? We’re not. We are responding faithfully to the schizophrenic signals you’re sending us, which is ‘cut our taxes and increase our entitlements and do it in a noble manner so that we can have pride and respect in you.’ ”

How should Arnold approach government in California? He should take to heart the words of Ronald Reagan, another actor turned California governor, who noted that “A government that is big enough to give you everything you want is also big enough to take everything you have.” Congressman Steve Largent considered that important enough to quote it himself.

How long should Arnold stay a politician? Not very long if he listens to Fred Grandy, who opined about politicians that it “is a good job for someone with no family, no life of their own, no desire to do anything but get up, go to work, and live and die by their own press releases… It is a great job for deviant human beings.”

Should Arnold go on to Washington? Not according to Senator and TV star Fred Thompson, who observed of his time in our nation’s capitol, “After two years in Washington, I often long for the realism and sincerity of Hollywood.”

Oh, and here’s a little something for Gray Davis from Bill Bradley: “Becoming number one is easier than remaining number one.”

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Decent, Honorable Men Can Disagree

Walt Harrington writes about the Bushes, father and son, he knows in a particularly good op-ed in the Saint Louis Post Dispatch.

“What I’ve never mentioned is that I didn’t vote for George W. I disagree with him on the Supreme Court, environment, abortion, the death penalty and affirmative action. So I voted against this good and decent man. It pained me to do it. As an anointed liberal columnist for The New York Times, Maureen Dowd is paid to have strong opinions, to argue that if George W. Bush opposes affirmative action it’s because he’s an insensitive wealthy white man, one of the last acceptable slurs in our society. Well, I support affirmative action but there are good arguments against it. I support a woman’s right to choose but there are good arguments against it. I oppose the death penalty but there are good arguments for it. Even as President Bush seems to be moving the country inexorably toward war, I can’t fall back on the easy explanations of his critics: He’s trying to prop up his sagging popularity, or avenge his father’s failure to oust Saddam, or save the world for Big Oil. I believe George W. Bush believes Iraq is a deadly threat to the U.S.

It baffles me that grown people must convince themselves that those with whom they disagree are stupid or malevolent. It’s a poison that creates uncivil debate and self-righteous political correctness. Yet, truth is, I didn’t always think so open-mindedly. I used to be quite a self-righteous twit in my youth. Coming to know the Presidents Bush and Bush changed me, helped me learn that no class — rich or poor —has cornered the market on decency or wisdom.”

Some of us have outgrown the self-righteous twit stage, some of us seem to be perpetually stuck in it, and some of us waver back and forth.

Texans flee to Oklahoma

I suppose what you think about Democrat legislators in Texas fleeing to Oklahoma depends on your political orientation. It sure seems undemocratic to me for the minority legislators to keep from losing a vote through non-voting means. The point of a democracy is that the people decide; this isn’t about some fundamental rights of the minority, nor is it about doing what is right the only way possible. This just undermines democracy – if you lose an election but are unwilling to accept those results, you are usurping authority. And it tends to provoke a non-democratic response.

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It’s A Beautiful Morning, National

President Bush won big on election night. The Republicans picked up enough seats to control the Senate, and increased their margin in the House. Jim Talent beat Jean Carnahan – yeah! I think the election was in part a referendum on Bush’s conduct of the war, and the American people endorsed it. The odd thing about Bush is, he keeps his word. He said no assault on Iraq before the elections and we haven’t. He said the US would act with or without the UN, so if you’re pinning your anti-war hopes on Russia and France, don’t. Saddam’s days are numbered.

On the domestic front, I hope the Republicans don’t repeat the mistakes of the ’92 Democrats who had control of both houses and the Presidency. They then lurched to the left, fought with themselves on pet projects like universal healthcare, and passed idiocy like a big tax increase, all of which PO’d the electorate off so much the Republicans swept into power in Congress in ’94. So my hope is that instead of fighting over the whole loaf, or continuing to compromise at half a loaf, go for three-quarters of the loaf. Pass what you can, reform and revise existing programs rather than start new ones, don’t split between moderates and extremists, govern well, in other words, act like you expect to be in power for a while and don’t get in a big rush to get big changes rammed through during your moment in the sun. I’m hoping for more and sooner tax cuts, a ban on partial birth abortion, partial privatization of Social Security, a permanent elimination of the estate tax, a rein on spending, judicial nominees getting a fair hearing, and better copyright and internet law.

Paul Wellstone, RIP

Senator Wellstone’s death is a tragedy, along with all those who died with him.

It’s important for our country that its diverse viewpoints are represented, and Wellstone did an admirable job in representing a particular viewpoint. Not only does this keep the people who agree with this viewpoint engaged and involved in politics in a helpful way, it also means that there is a healthy competition in the marketplace of ideas. And that competition sharpens all the viewpoints there. You could argue, and I don’t have time here to do it, that the monoculture of modern academics has caused its staggering decline and irrelevance.

I’m struck, though, by how the Democratic Party has replaced two of its senatorial candidates with old men who’ve been out of politics for years. Orin Judd pointed this out as an example of the Democrats stepping on blacks because in both instances capable up and coming black candidates were bypassed for has been whites. I’d just like to point out that it’s not the sign of a healthy party that it prefers candidates purely for name recognition. Both Lautenberg and Mondale are a couple of placeholders – two guys who’s only point is to hold on the Senate for the Democrats. The Democratic Party seems to be the one standing athwart history yelling “Stop!” these days: they want no change in Social Security, no change to Welfare, no vouchers, no this, no that; what they want is more of the same spending. Are there any new ideas? Are there alternatives? Nope, it the same thing: if there’s a problem, spend more money.

Social Security Problems

The Social Security Trust Fund is going south because it is neither secure, a trust, or a fund. It is an accounting device, deliberately chosen to allow politicians to say one thing but do another.

Social security has always been funded on a pay as you go basis. The government levies an income tax on most people (there are those who are exempt because they are covered by other plans) and hides half of it by having the employer pay it. This money goes into the general fund with all the other tax dollars, and social security is paid to its recipients just like all the other stuff government spends money on.

There is no investment. There is no trust fund. All the money from the social security payroll tax is spent, and then the government writes an IOU to itself in the form of a bond.

The beauty of the system is that the same entity that agrees to pay the bond in order to meet its social security obligation is also the entity that determines its social security obligation. If the government decides it would rather cut benefits than default on the bonds, raise taxes, or borrow, then benefits are cut. Social security recipients have no legal claim on the money. It isn’t theirs, and it isn’t owed to them in any legally binding sense. 

Contrast that with a pension fund. As the obligation is incurred by the company while the worker is employed, the company (legally) must set aside money to cover the payment in the future based on expected returns. The company holds the money in trust for its retirees, and the retirees do have a legal claim to the money and are legally owed the money. The trust money is invested so that it grows while the worker is employed and even after she starts drawing a pension.

The two systems are nothing alike. And no company can legally run a pension fund like the government runs social security.

The problem with any pay as you go system, like social security, is that you have to have enough people paying in so that they can support those who are receiving the money. And in a few short years, namely 2016, there won’t be enough people paying in due to demographics. So at that point, we will turn to the Social Security Trust Fund, and instead of cold hard cash, we will find promises. And then our elected representatives will be forced to decide what mix of borrowing, tax increases, benefit reductions and other budget item reductions we will adopt to allow us to continue to pay Social Security. 

And we will confront the exact same choice to the penny with our vaunted Social Security Trust Fund or without it. Having this fund does absolutely nothing for us but lull us into a false sense of security. You can’t rob Peter to pay Paul if you’re Peter.

If we took the excess social security taxes (to current social security obligations) and instead of the government spending it and giving itself an IOU, we legally transferred it to future recipients, to be actually invested, when 2016 rolls around and we open the lock box and find IOU’s, we could reduce the money the government would have to scrounge (again by raising taxes, borrowing, or reducing benefits and other government services) by the amount of money that was transferred to the then future, now current, recipients, thus achieving what the Social Security Trust Fund and all that Lock Boxes in the world are designed to do but cannot do.

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