Archive for category The War on Terror

Some Questions Answered, Some Questions Remain

The DOD had a press conference yesterday about the return of the IAEA to inspect the Iraqi Tuwaitha nuclear facility. One of the interesting nuggets is that the storage facility there has been under continuous American control since April 7.

“And Site Charlie, where radiological materials, principally yellow cake were stored, consists of three buildings, and they’re surrounded by a fence and a wall of concrete barriers about 12 feet tall on three sides. According to reports from civilians in the area, on or about the 10th of March, Iraqi army forces who were guarding the site reportedly left their weapons — some of their weapons with the local civilians — and abandoned the site. We also believe, from talking to the local civilians, that on or about 20 March, the 20th of March, the civilians guarding the site abandoned it also. And, of course, we were conducting our attack across the Kuwaiti border on the 21st. On the 7th of April, U.S. Marines from our land component first arrived at Tuwaitha Site Charlie and assumed the security, and remained there until the 20th of April, when they turned over control of the facility to U.S. Army soldiers from another unit. And Tuwaitha Site Charlie has been secured and under the positive control of U.S. forces since the 7th of April. When the U.S. forces first arrived, they found the Tuwaitha site facility, Tuwaitha Charlie facility, in disarray. The front gate was open and unsecured, and the fence line and barrier wall on the back side of the facility had been breached. And the troops reported that there were no seals on the exterior doors of the buildings. But since taking control of Tuwaitha Site Charlie, no thieves or looters have been allowed inside the facility.”

There have been some reports in the press suggesting that the Marines showed up, bumbled around, and then left. According to the DOD, not true. However, the entire facility covers 23,000 acres, and security has been continously provided only at the storage site. What’s odd about the time line is that the Iraqi soldiers abandoned the site 11 days before the coalition attack on Iraq. Another odd thing: apparently we found more material there than we thought should be there, which is the point of having the IAEA, who actually have the records, inspect. Hopefully the IAEA inspection will help us figure out if any nuclear material was stolen (or moved there from elsewhere) before the Marines arrived.

[Via Phil Carter]

Another Feel Good Story

Okay, I can’t help myself. Here’s another story about getting things right in Iraq [via Virginia Postrel]:

“Lt. Gen. William S. Wallace, commander of V Corps, in charge of Army operations in Iraq, wanted to make an immediate difference in the lives of the people in Baghdad’s poorest neighborhoods. Long neglected or actively repressed by Saddam’s regime, they now were despairing because their trash was gathering uncollected in the streets, their police force had vanished, or was powerless to protect them from crime, drains were backing up, pure water was impossible to find and many other things were just going wrong while the governing occupation authorities promised much, but delivered little improvement. Wallace’s assignment was for Martin, as the corp’s engineer, to apply the Army’s engineering capabilities to help solve some of the people’s problems.”

“Spec. Jessica Schmitz, a mechanic with 561st Medical Co., 30th Medical Brigade, says she came to provide security for her unit’s dental clinic at the soccer stadium project. “I just wanted to come down and see this,” she says. “I think it gives purpose to what we’re doing.”

The story is so well written and flows so well, it’s hard to excerpt it in a meaningful way, so go read it.

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The Plural of Anecdote Isn’t Data

The Volokh Conspiracy seems to add another blogger every time I read them (I’d link to them if I knew how to pronounce the name (yeah, like they care)), but that only makes them better. But that’s not the point; the point is that they have an email from a Naval Reservist in Iraq that’s well worth reading.

” The tension is high all around here [in Baghdad], but not necessarily because of the protests or potshots being taken at the Army patrols. Everyone wants to succeed and is working 24/7 to do it, but it doesn’t always seem as the world understands the issue because of the limited view the press provides. There is a very talented team assembled, with not the greatest access to the usual resources (phones, computers, air conditioning, etc). They’re also going to need some good people to fill their shoes in a couple of months; i.e., the President of Michigan State needs to head back to school at summer’s end.”

I’m happy to hear of his positive experience, but as he notes, it’s hard to tell what’s going on because of the limited view I have. You read negative stuff, you read positive stuff, and you try to get an idea of how things are going, of what’s happening over there. And frankly, you just can’t tell. Nor is it clear that you can sum it up with a single adjective like well or poorly. It’s a big country, and it isn’t going to be homogenous. If you asked people in this country how things are going here, you’d get a wide diversity of opinion. Yet when it comes to foreign countries, we want a single response. How’s safety over there? We’ll, I’m sure there are locations over there I’d be much safer in than certain locations right here in river city, but there does seem to be a security problem. And at the height of the negative reports on looting (including the Baghdad museum) in Iraq, there was an incident in St. Louis where a school was cleaned to the bare walls — apparently the theives started loading up a truck Friday night, worked through the weekend, and didn’t stop until there was nothing left to take. It was ignored local news; the press was too obsessed with looting in Iraq to worry about looting in some poor neighborhood of St. Louis. 

But I think there is one clear fact — that as of right now, whatever the reality is, whatever may come, the bulk of the Iraqi people are better off without Saddam as their leader.

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Some People Never Learn

First it was the quagmire in Afganistan (not really, but since I’m writing this, I can start the count where I want). Then it was the hundred thousand civilians we were going to kill in Iraq. Then it was the quagmire in Iraq. Now it’s the lack of WMD in Iraq. When is the anti-Bush crowd going to realize they need to shut up and let events play out before they make their complaints? Did they ever stop to think maybe the administration might take their sweet time checking things out before making an announcement, and then they would once again look like idiots? Just a thought.

Saddam Hussein The Terrorist

Saddam Hussein was a terrorist, and a very successful one. If a terrorist is someone who seeks political ends through violence and terror or the threat of violence and terror against civilians, then Saddam fits the definition to a T. Saddam didn’t just imprison political prisoners but tortured them; he didn’t just execute political prisoners but made their deaths as ghastly as possible to deter any dissent. Yet somehow we don’t seem to consider Saddam and those like him as terrorists because they achieved their aims. Instead, we seem to only consider failed terrorists as real terrorists. The successful ones, like Saddam, or Castro, or Khadafy, or Lenin, or even Mugabe or Marcos aren’t considered terrorists once they seize power and achieve the objective of their terror – namely power. No, its failed movements like the IRA, or Basque separatists (ETA), Shining Path in Peru, or lone wackos like Timothy McVeigh and Ted Kaczynski (the Unabomber) that we label as terrorists. Yet their motives and methods are the same — only the scale and success differ.

We may talk of state sponsored terrorism when once country uses terrorism against another, like Pakistan does in Kashmir or Syria (and previously Iraq) against Israel, but we never mention that some states are simply ruled by terrorist organizations that have taken over the country. What is the difference between Saddam Hussein and Abu Nidal, or between Fidel Castro and Abu Abbas? One has achieved his goal, and the other one didn’t. That’s it. Is Yasser Arafat a terrorist or the head of state? He’s both, and at the very same time. He and his government probably kill about as many (same order of magnitude) Palestinians it claims to represent as it does Israeli’s it wages war against. 

I suppose it’s too unsettling to consider that governments can be the cause of misery rather than the promoting the general welfare. I suppose the understanding that too many countries are ruled by terrorists would shame us for our indifference to the plight of our fellow man forced to live in those countries. We don’t have the ability to topple every terrorist organization masquerading as a government; it’s easier to ignore our limitations than to recognize them. 

We also like to think that violence never settles anything. Yet far from being ineffective, violence is far too effective. And even worse, the person who ups the ante on the violence tends to be the winner. Its usually the dictator who manifested a scruple who is overthrown than the one who is willing to do anything to stay in power. Thus the real problem isn’t that it is ineffective, but that the outcome is usually not the one we want or deem fair or right. Might doesn’t make right, but it usually makes the victor.

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War Status Week 3

I think we’ve reached the beginning of the end of the Iraq campaign. At this point, it sure looks to go down as another smashing US victory. Whatever lingering doubts I had were cleared up by the recent reports of a warehouse full of cardboard boxes with human remains and detailed records of how victims of Saddam were executed; the terrible details of torture in Iraqi prisons, and the revelation of a children’s prison. I know the end doesn’t justify the means, but after the fanatical attacks on coalition forces during the war, it seems to me this government would never have been removed by any means short of war, nor would anything but a worldwide united front have achieved disarmament — and I have my doubts that even that would have succeeded. 

Is Saddam dead? I don’t know. But last time we thought we got him, the regime continued to function, although in a strangely passive manner. This time, in less than 24 hours the regime seems to no longer exist — even the police and media minders have dropped from sight. If we did get him this time, it would provide a small amount of personal satisfaction as reportedly he was killed by four BLU-109 JDAM variants (I think that’s what they mean when they say bunker busting GBU-31’s, which can be either Mark 84s or BLU-109s with the JDAM kit) as I happened to have helped out on the aerodynamics on that particular variant.

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Do They Love Us or Hate Us?

Donald Sensing at One Hand Clapping points out that hating Saddam isn’t the same as loving America. The question of the moment isn’t whether the Iraqi’s love us or hate us (or fear us), the question is will they tolerate us and help us. And certainly no feeling will be universal; some will hate us and some will love us. All we need is most to work with us.

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War Assessment

The news media seems to think the war in Iraq is going badly. I can just see these guys write a post-mortem of the 1972 Miami Dolphins: Despite Coach Shula’s claims of a perfect season, we can report that opponents completed passes, gained yards, first downs, and even scored on the Dolphins while the Dolphin offense struggled at times, failing to put points on the board with every possession. As far as I can tell, the campaign against Iraq is going very well. Coalition ground forces have seemingly advanced at will, stopped only by the weather; what’s described as fierce opposition has managed to inflict few casualties and is best described as a nuisance. Some seem surprised that vehicles still need gas, guns still need bullets, and soldiers still need to sleep now and then. Despite fears before hand, the war has neither widened — no rising of the Arab street, no terrorist attacks, not even a tape from Osama — nor has Iraq used WMD yet. Yes, the coalition has made mistakes, mistakes that have cost lives, mistakes that will prolong the campaign, but then this too should not be surprising.

Part of the problem is that since neither we nor the media know what the plan is/was, we cannot accurately asses how we are doing relative to the plan. Some seem to think the plan was to drive to Baghdad and be welcomed as heros. Somehow, I doubt that was the plan. It looks to me that the plan was to get to Baghdad by fighting as little as possible in the south and have the decisive battle occur there. As an Iraqi in Nasiriya, scene of heavy fighting, said, “You want to overthrow Saddam Hussein’s regime? Go to Baghdad. What are you doing here?” 

So I think the coalition needs to press ahead to Baghdad. Waiting around for reinforcements and getting bogged down taking every town in the south are diversions. Strike the Republican Guard units while they are still outside Baghdad. Infiltrate the 101 into Baghdad before Iraqi units retreat into it. Keep the pressure on; keep the initiative, adjust to Saddam’s countermoves but don’t lose sight of the overall picture and objective. Knock his TV and radio broadcasts from the airwaves and replace them with our own. Attack every aspect of Saddam’s regime that you can while you advance to destroy him.

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Scuds Revealed

Apparently, Centcom isn’t naming the ballistic missiles fired into Kuwait, leading to confusion about whether they are Scuds are not. In response to a question asking if Iraq was launching Scuds, the briefer responded that they had fired 10 (OK, I don’t remember the exact number) ballistic missiles into Kuwait, some of which had travelled more than 150 km. He then moved on to the next question. It is left for the media to understand that 150 km represents the limit on allowable range for Iraqi ballistic missiles; IOW, it doesn’t matter what you call them, Iraq had and used missiles in violation of UN limits. I hope that clears it up.

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A Couple Of Know Nothings

Derek Low at Lagniappe has a pretty good description about the overall picture of the Iraq campaign: the signal to noise is pretty low, and nobody (that’s talking, anyway) has any idea of what’s going on. But that doesn’t stop him (or me) from checking the news all day.

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