Archive for category Current Events

St. Louis Weather

In case you’re interested, yes, I survived last night’s storm. In fact, I stood outside watching the storm approach with a neighbor and my son until the rain started. With straight line winds up to 80 mph — yes, that’s hurricane force — and lots of lightning, it was a storm of Biblical proportions. Watching it approach on radar was interesting as well, because the storm covered just the St. Louis metropolitan region, no more no less.

We had a lot of leaves and small branches down, but nothing major, and no power loss. The A/C compressor did trip it’s circuit breaker, which I didn’t figure out until this morning, but we are certainly more fortunate than a lot of others – half a million others that is, like my parents, who are without power. The electric company, Ameren UE has run up the white flag and asked for help from anywhere. Did I mention they are predicting 102 today?

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Hudson vs. Michigan, Walker vs. Scalia

Hudson vs. Michigan, Walker vs. Scalia

The Post-Dispatch ran an op-ed by Samuel Walker that claimed Justice Scalia misused his research in the Hudson vs. Michigan decision that limited the exclusionary rule: that is that evidence obtained in violation of the constitution cannot be used in court.

Justice Scalia’s (majority) Opinion:

This Court has rejected “[i]ndiscriminate application” of the exclusionary rule, United States v. Leon, 468 U. S. 897 , holding it applicable only “where its deterrence benefits outweigh its ‘substantial social costs,’ ” Pennsylvania Bd. of Probation and Parole v. Scott, 524 U. S. 357 . Exclusion may not be premised on the mere fact that a constitutional violation was a “but-for” cause of obtaining the evidence. The illegal entry here was not the but-for cause, but even if it were, but-for causation can be too attenuated to justify exclusion. Attenuation can occur not only when the causal connection is remote, but also when suppression would not serve the interest protected by the constitutional guarantee violated. The interests protected by the knock-and-announce rule include human life and limb (because an unannounced entry may provoke violence from a surprised resident), property (because citizens presumably would open the door upon an announcement, whereas a forcible entry may destroy it), and privacy and dignity of the sort that can be offended by a sudden entrance. But the rule has never protected one’s interest in preventing the government from seeing or taking evidence described in a warrant. Since the interests violated here have nothing to do with the seizure of the evidence, the exclusionary rule is inapplicable. Pp. 3-7.(c) The social costs to be weighed against deterrence are considerable here. In addition to the grave adverse consequence that excluding relevant incriminating evidence always entails–the risk of releasing dangerous criminals–imposing such a massive remedy would generate a constant flood of alleged failures to observe the rule, and claims that any asserted justification for a no-knock entry had inadequate support. Another consequence would be police officers’ refraining from timely entry after knocking and announcing, producing preventable violence against the officers in some cases, and the destruction of evidence in others. Next to these social costs are the deterrence benefits. The value of deterrence depends on the strength of the incentive to commit the forbidden act. That incentive is minimal here, where ignoring knock-and-announce can realistically be expected to achieve nothing but the prevention of evidence destruction and avoidance of life-threatening resistance, dangers which suspend the requirement when there is “reasonable suspicion” that they exist, Richards v. Wisconsin, 520 U. S. 385 . Massive deterrence is hardly necessary. Contrary to Hudson’s argument that without suppression there will be no deterrence, many forms of police misconduct are deterred by civil-rights suits, and by the consequences of increasing professionalism of police forces, including a new emphasis on internal police discipline. Pp. 8-13.

Prof Walker’s complaint:

First, I learned that Justice Antonin Scalia cited me to support a terrible decision, holding that the exclusionary rule — which for decades prevented evidence obtained illegally by police from being used at trial — no longer applies when cops enter your home without knocking.Even worse, he twisted my main argument to reach a conclusion the exact opposite of what I spelled out.

The misuse of evidence is a serious offense in academia as well as in the courts. When your work is manipulated, it is a violation of your intellectual integrity. Since the issue at stake in the Hudson case is extremely important — what role the Supreme Court should play in policing the police — I felt obligated to set the record straight.

Scalia quoted my book, “Taming the System: The Control of Discretion in American Criminal Justice,” on the point that there has been tremendous progress “in the education, training and supervision of police officers” since the 1961 Mapp decision, which imposed the exclusionary rule on local law enforcement.

My argument, based on the historical evidence of the last 40 years, is that the court of Chief Justice Earl Warren in the 1960s played a pivotal role in stimulating these reforms. For more than 100 years, police departments had failed to curb misuse of authority by officers on the street while the courts took a hands-off attitude. The Warren court’s interventions (Mapp and Miranda being the most famous) set new standards for lawful conduct, forcing the police to reform and strengthening community demands for curbs on abuse.

Scalia’s opinion suggested that the results I highlighted have sufficiently removed the need for an exclusionary rule to act as a judicial-branch watchdog over the police. I have never said or even suggested such a thing.

To the contrary, I have argued that the results reinforce the Supreme Court’s continuing importance in defining constitutional protections for individual rights and requiring the appropriate remedies for violations, including the exclusion of evidence.

The ideal approach is for the court to join the other branches of government in a mix of remedies for police misconduct: judicially mandated exclusionary rules, legislation to give citizens oversight of police and administrative reforms in training and supervision. No single remedy is sufficient to this very important task.

I have to say I don’t think the Professor made his case against the Justice. The Justice claims that police misbehavior is deterred internally to the police by increased professionalism and externally by civil suits. I have no doubt that the data in the good Professor’s book supports that claim; however, the Justice has a different opinion of the future of deterence with a more limited exclusionary rule than the Professor. Namely, the Justice feels that the reforms have become self supporting, wheras the Professor feels that without the spur of the exclusionary rule the police, despite the risk of civil lawsuit and their increased professionalism, will backslide. The complaint in fact boils down to “Justice Scalia has a different opinion of a future course events”, not the stated complaint that “Justice Scalia misused my research”.

Perhaps Prof. Walker will next take up the curious case of Goldberg vs. the Star-Tribune.

However, let’s look at the substance of the decision. Let’s take up Justice Breyer’s dissenting (minority) opinion:

In Wilson v. Arkansas, 514 U. S. 927 (1995) , a unanimous Court held that the Fourth Amendment normally requires law enforcement officers to knock and announce their presence before entering a dwelling. Today’s opinion holds that evidence seized from a home following a violation of this requirement need not be suppressedAs a result, the Court destroys the strongest legal incentive to comply with the Constitution’s knock-and-announce requirement. And the Court does so without significant support in precedent. At least I can find no such support in the many Fourth Amendment cases the Court has decided in the near century since it first set forth the exclusionary principle in Weeks v. United States, 232 U. S. 383 (1914) . See Appendix, infra.

Today’s opinion is thus doubly troubling. It represents a significant departure from the Court’s precedents. And it weakens, perhaps destroys, much of the practical value of the Constitution’s knock-and-announce protection.

… [Lots of legal citations]

There may be instances in the law where text or history or tradition leaves room for a judicial decision that rests upon little more than an unvarnished judicial instinct. But this is not one of them. Rather, our Fourth Amendment traditions place high value upon protecting privacy in the home. They emphasize the need to assure that its constitutional protections are effective, lest the Amendment “sound the word of promise to the ear but break it to the hope.” They include an exclusionary principle, which since Weeks has formed the centerpiece of the criminal law’s effort to ensure the practical reality of those promises. That is why the Court should assure itself that any departure from that principle is firmly grounded in logic, in history, in precedent, and in empirical fact. It has not done so. That is why, with respect, I dissent.

Let’s do what it seems all Supreme Court Justices do these days – ignore precedent and examine my own unvarnished judicial instinct. The goal of the judicial system is to punish the guilty and exhonerate the innocent. Ideally we would do so perfectly, but we undertand that nothing in this life is perfect, and so in America we like to see the inevitable tradeoffs bias the system to exhonerating the innocent over punishing the guilty.

So how does the exclusionary rule fit in? If you haven’t committed a crime (i.e. innocent), then there isn’t any evidence to be excluded. However, if you have committed a crime, then the evidence is excluded and you get to “get out of jail free”. In sum, it perversely allows the guilty to go free but does nothing for the innocent.

At first blush the exclusionary principle seems to actually run counter to what we want a judicial system to do. However, what are the other remedies for the innocent? Civil suits? Yes, in the case of great wrongs, but for the person who suffers little economic loss and only moderate or less non-economic loss such suits don’t offer much remedy. That leaves us with civilian review boards and internal policing. Perhaps I’m too hard on government agencies, but my gut tells me that in either case more than the benefit of the doubt will go the police, and only the most flagrant cases will result in any discipline to the police.

The exclusionary rule reminds of the onetime taboo against children out of wedlock — it served the broader interests of society while being, let’s face it, unjust to the individuals it was directed against.

So I have to agree with Justice Breyer, and Professor Walker, that in our opinion, the exclusionary rule (as preverse as it is) is vital to keeping the police from abusing their authority and infringing on our rights. Better that one criminal go free than 10 people have their rights trampled. It is one of those rules that arises from the wisdom of experience, and I’m sorry to say Justice Scalia’s reasoning in setting aside such a bright line rule is best described as airy fairy. I have to hope that if this experiment turns out to be a bust, that is if the police escalate the number of unconsititutional no-knock entries, the Supreme Court will treat this decision with as much respect for precedence it showed others and return to the strong but unpopular medicine of the exclusionary rule.

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The (Pay Per) View: Star vs. Barbara

I can’t say why I clicked through to the article about the Star Jones – Barbara Walters cat fight, but I did — OK, it’s the phrase cat fight — and I was rewarded with puzzlement. No, not that celebrities are people too, but by this bizarre claim by Ms. Walters:

Jones was one of the original cast members of the show when it launched nine years ago. Word is network execs decided not to renew her contract for a 10th season because research showed her dramatic weight loss and 2004 wedding to banker Al Reynolds was a turn-off to viewers.”We tried to talk them out of it, and we tried to give Star time to redeem herself in the eyes of the audience, and the research just kept getting worse,” Walters added.

What’s this talk about redeeming herself? Does Barbara mean put the weight back on and get divorced? Who exactly watches The View if they don’t like a sister losing weight and marrying? Fat lesbians?

UPDATE: This story just keeps getting stranger as time goes on. Star Jones Reynolds told Larry King that ABC told her to make up a story as to why she was leaving to spare her the embarrassment of admiting that it was because she was unpopular with the audience.

King read Reynolds a statement from ABC claiming that she had been dismissed from the show immediately because, after her remarks to PEOPLE, the network could not trust her to tell the truth on the air.Reynolds said she was “having trouble reconciling” that charge with the fact that ABC had previously asked her to lie.

You and me both, Star. Oh wait, this is a network we’re talking about. As Jack would say, you can’t handle the truth! Nor the American people, as according to this People poll currently shows 62% supporting “Team Walters”. Star Jones “betrayed” Barbara Walters for announcing the truth live on national television? [Is the view live? — if it isn’t why not cut the offending part out?] I guess this confirms that baba wawa wouldn’t know a news story if it bit her in the butt, because this one sure did.

And just who was the lie really supposed to help? Star or The View? The View, of course, because who do you think less of, the person who got fired for losing weight and getting married, or the person who fired her? Tell me again who lost their dignity here?

How would you take “you’re skinny, you’re happily married, you’re fired!”? Announce that you’re leaving the show to stay thin and married? Or just come right out and tell the truth – they don’t want me back.

As a futher butress to my claim that the View’s core audience is fat lesbians, consider who they are replacing her with: Rosie O’Donnell. I rest my case.

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Immigration Ecomonics

I expect you’ve heard this big picture thermodynamics question before: You have a thermally isolated room with a refrigerator. You plug the refrigerator into a working outlet and open its door. Does the room get colder, warmer, or stay the same? The answer is that the room gets warmer because the total energy in the room is increasing due to the electricity flow via the plug. If you look at the big picture, it’s really a very easy problem.

So we come to the point of this post, the effect of large scale immigration on workers. The relevant law here is that of supply and demand, and if you increase the supply of workers, the price at which they are employed will inevitably fall relative to the price without an increase. Now it may well happen that if the increase in demand is greater than the increase in supply the actual price increases, just less than it would have if there had been no increase in the supply. So if you get a lot of immigrants who are increasing the supply of labor, then that will inevitably lower the price everybody is getting paid in that labor pool relative to what they would get without a change in labor supply. I’m not saying this is a good or bad thing, I’m just saying what happens.

What sparked this particular post is a John Tierney column which would appear to be behind the Times Select Wall since the St. Louis Post Dispatch ran a column the NYTs published May 30th today. I’m a fan of Mr. Tierney, but I think he stumbles a bit in this article as he’s pretty breezy with one consequence of large scale immigration (legal or not). And yes Virginia, there isn’t just one consequence.

First off, neither Mr. Tierney nor I compete in the same labor pool with the overwhelming majority of immigrants, so we are able to offer a bit more detachment than those who do. I admit its easy to be blase, even upbeat about trends that you don’t think affect you.

Secondly, Mr. Tierney makes the common mistake of confusing an anecdote with data. He offers the nice tale of a native American women (not to be confused with Native American) who loses her nail salon to the more numerous, lower cost salons run by Vietnamese immigrants. But she lands on her feet by going freelance and working for the wealthy of LA who are willing to pay to have someone who can carry on an intellegent conversation while doing their nails at home. So, despite the fact that a particular person was able to land on her feet, did the average wage in the nail salon business go up or down? Mr. Tierney doesn’t comment on this directly, but I think we are safe to infer from the rest of the story it went down. And I’ll point something out that Mr. Tierney doesn’t — the (better) job that his nail salon owner found existed before she found it; that is there were plenty of wealthy people who were willing to pay extra for in home nail care before the Vietnamese took over the salon business, its just that the salon owner was comfortable in her job and was not looking to make a change. But what about the wages of such freelance workers – have they gone up or down with the influx of American workers into that niche, displaced by the Vietnamese into the salon business? Again, Mr. Tierney is silent on this subject, but uses the anecdote to claim out that everything will be just fine for all the displaced workers because everything worked out for the particular lady he featured. What would the story have been like had this particular worker moved into the at home/freelance nail business several years ago? Would it have been quite to happy and upbeat? Or would she have been complained of declining wages due to the increased competition with her fellow natives who were moving into the business?

Well, I have no doubt that some workers will move to better jobs because they will actively seek jobs where they weren’t looking in the past. But I also have no doubt that some workers will not move to better jobs, and there will be downward pressure on the wages of those workers who remain in their jobs.

And whether you considered this a positive or negative affect might depend if you were a worker in the field, or if you were a consumer of this product or service who was seeing a decline in its price.

And this raises an even bigger point for me — I think we are better off as a nation looking at the issue, exploring the costs and benefits, weighing the options, and then devising the laws and regulations through the political process with representative government, than we are with our current system of immigration policy by default, with inflows determined by the immigrants themselves, because they aren’t looking at the big picture, nor would I expect them to. They are looking at what it means to them.

One of the problems with illegal immigration is that not only the immigration, but so much of the life of such an immigrant takes place off the books. And as Hernado De Soto observes, this life in legal limbo is what makes so many countries poor, and will certainly hurt our own nation. So for me, whatever else the outcome of immigration reform, I just want to see the illegal, off the books part brought back into the law, back onto the books.

A great American, Stephen Decatur once said “Our country! In her intercourse with foreign nations may she always be in the right; but our country right or wrong.” I’m going to say: “Our representative goverment! May the outcome of our representative government always be in the right; but the process of representative government right or wrong.”

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Insults Do Not An Exchange Of Ideas Make

After taking Ann Coulter to task for her insulting remarks about a certain group of 9/11 widows, I think it only right to show case a remark by one Larry Johnson that is far worse than any Coulter made: “Karl is a shameless bastard. Small wonder his mother killed herself. Once she discovered what a despicable soul she had spawned she apparently saw no other way out.” Mr. Johnson has since tweaked the remark, although from “Small wonder his mother killed herself” to “This could explain why his mother killed herself” really isn’t much of a change in meaning. So what’s the point? Mr. Johnson objects to Mr. Rove’s “attacks” on Jack Murtha and John Kerry for wanting to withdraw all American troops ASAP – as well as the usual assorted claims against the Bush administration. Does such a remark reveal anything about Mr. Rove, let alone shed any light on the correctness of any claims by either Mr. Johnson or Mr. Rove? Of course not, but they do reveal a lot about the character of Mr. Johnson, none of it positive. And I can’t even say about Mr. Johnson it reflects badly on his substantive points because he doesn’t have any. He simply wants us to believe the paranoid fantasies of the left based on his insults of the right.

Nor do I care what Johnson has to say about Don Surber, who demonstrates how to argue like a grown up, not a petulant, spoiled baby who cries and lashes out when people simply don’t do as he demands.

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When Not Is News

So when is something not happening news? When it’s Karl Rove Not being indicted. Why is his not getting indicted news? Because a lot of people on the left were convinced he would be, and since most people in the news media were also convinced (since there is of course no overlap between lefties and the news media according to both lefties and the news media) that he would be, his not being indicted is almost bigger news than if he had been. Tom Maguire, who’s been all over this story from conception, has the story. I’m still wondering who’s worse, Nifong or Fitzgerald.

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Palestine, Hamas, and us.

OK, remind me again why we should give Hamas a nickel, or why the Palestinians, who’ve never missed an oportunity to miss an oportunity, deserve a state (and not the Kurds?) Because from where I sit, all I can see is the partying in the streets after 9/11, and now the comes the reaction of Hamas to Zarqawi’s death – a man responsible for the death of thousands, and a man who took delight in beheading people: “With hearts full of faith, Hamas commends brother-fighter Abu Musab … who was martyred at the hands of the savage crusade campaign which targets the Arab homeland, starting in Iraq”. If Hamas considers Zarqawi a brother fighter, and Zarqawi clearly fought against the US, that means that Hamas considers themselves … in a fight against us. I say we don’t disappoint them.

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Ann Coulter and The Jersey Girls

The problem with Ann Coulter is that whenever she makes some good points she discredits them with terrible hyperbole and insult. Her problem isn’t uncommon in partisans who are forever overreaching, but far too often she misses provocative and land squarely in revolting. For instance, Confederate Yankee is able to make the point she was trying to make without any insult: “The point, of course, was simply this: personal tragedy does not bestow omnipotence upon the bereaved.” I would add that the greater the demonstration of bereavement, the greater the compromise of wisdom and perspective, but then I come from the stoic Midwest.

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Borders Will Carry Mohammed Cartoons

Borders has decided that while they weren’t willing to risk jihad over an obscure publication that a few people read, they are willing to put their necks on the line for Vanity Fair. Maybe they figure Jihadists were already so upset at the pictures of mostly naked women in the ads (so I’ve been told) that they wouldn’t bother to notice that VF has the infamous Mohammed Cartoons in them. Or Borders could be run by a bunch of buttholes. We report, you decide.

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Haditha

There are two kinds of news stories I lack confidence in (just two?). There is the anonymously sourced story, and there is the “local people tell us” stories. The first is a staple of political reporting – and the shortcoming is that an anonymous source always has an agenda, and the anonymity hides the agenda. I’m not talking about the “some people say” or “experts say” without providing an actual person which is the way reporters simply inject their own opinions into a story, I’m talking were the reporter is relying on a source for information but just not telling us who that is all the while pretending that we are getting the whole story. We’re not.

The “local people tell us” is a staple of international reporting, but it doesn’t have to be international. The whole Katrina reporting debacle – yes, Virginia, pretty much everything the press reported about New Orleans following Katrina was wrong, and wrong because it was “local people tell us”. The press didn’t make up these stories out of whole cloth, they simply reported rumor as fact (and they thought that if multiple people told them the same rumor, why it must be fact). Think about how bad the press got it during Katrina, when the sources by and large had no agenda but were simply repeating what they had heard in good faith. Then think about all those stories where an intrepid reporter discounts the “official” version of events in a foriegn land because he’s talked to the locals and found out what they know (or in reality, what they think they know). Now the reporter isn’t just running with rumor dressed up in it’s Sunday best, but is often relaying whatever agenda the locals have as well.

This brings me to the story of a possible deliberate killing of civilians by Marines in Iraq. I have no idea what happened, and to my mind both the worst and the best may have occured. But the story is being driven by leaks to the New York Times. Maybe the leaker just wants to get the story out a month or two sooner – or far more likely the leaker has an agenda and wants to shape the story by getting his or her version out there first. And the story of a massecre is also supported by local witnesses — who may be right, but who may be wrong or even lying. And what do we know about eyewitnesses testimony? It’s unreliable, and it can be influenced into error after the fact.

Maybe the lurid storiy of a Marine unit shooting innocents is completely accurate. I don’t know. It wouldn’t be the first time American soldiers have done terrible things. I don’t want to confuse my hopes with reality, but I prefer to wait to more facts are in – what’s really in the report, what is the physical evidence, and even what local eyewitness have to say in detail.

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